His may not be a name widely known outside the Cardiff Bay bubble, but Mark Drakeford has been a key figure in Welsh Government over the last decade. On Saturday he’s likely to be selected as the Labour candidate for Cardiff West at the next Assembly elections – succeeding the man he’s been advising.
A very thoughtful man, he was the one who effectivley made Rhodri Morgan’s Governments hang together – ideologically and organisationally. The Professor of social policy at Cardiff University gave a short lecture to the Labour Grassroots ginger group at the end of January which I have just come across on the web
It is an interesting read on a number of levels but the point that struck me particularly was his fear that without strong political leadership over how to deal with spending cuts the civil service will lead the way in crudely slashing schemes they were never keen on in the first place. Or as Prof Drakeford put it “unless we are prepared with our own democratically driven way of dealing with reduced budgets, the machine will take it over”.
He warns there will be:
- An assault on the entitlement agenda: much despised as low populism, rather than the production of strong social capital which we know it to be;
- An assault on jobs: a firm belief that the public sector is bloated here in Wales, with lots of easy opportunities to slim back and make room for the private entrepreneurial spirits which we have held back for so long;
- An assault on public services: those creators of dependency and sullen apathy which save people from the consequences of their own behaviour and teach them that, no matter what havoc they wreak in their own lives, and those of others, the state will always be along to bale them out.
In particular he foresees a temptation to engage in displacement activity by going after local authorities: “there are voices, at the Assembly, who believe that the solution will be found in an attack on local government in Wales”, he warned. I half agree with his advocacy of PR for Local Government allied with a new settlement centred on “binding agreement around a small number of key outcomes”. But can’t help observe that this has been done in Scotland without much effect on the culture of Local Government. Anyway, that’s an aside.
Here is a man who intimately knows the way the Assembly Government works, at both a political and official level. His warning about the ‘machine’ taking over is a sober one. There are undeniable failings of delivery right across the Government in Wales. Ministers need to deal with that and not let their officials get away with sloppy work. But capacity problems pose challenges and there is clearly a fear that when the spending cuts bite and the fog of war descends, the civil service will have the perfect cover to cut the big schemes they never wanted (free bus passes, free prescriptions) rather than deal with the inefficiencies and inadequacies throughout the system.
So we must rely on “our own democratically driven way” to ensure the response to the cuts is driven by political priorities and not administrative prejudices. But Mark Drakeford doesn’t seem confident that this will happen…
Valleysmam 11:01 am on 9 March, 2010 Permalink
Its easy – get one head honcho , cut the status of the King Pins give them shared out puts on which their pay depends and then see what occurs !
a change of personnel 4:00 pm on 9 March, 2010 Permalink
Working together would mean relinquishing control of certain areas, it something many of those those who work in Local Authority’s are adverse to and be honest what realistic chance is there of a mindset change this late in the process?
As for WAG do they have a plan B on saving the money and protecting jobs if this all falls apart, or will the failings, job losses and service cuts be covered over by the old favourite of reorganization again.
Jeff Jones 9:37 pm on 9 March, 2010 Permalink
It was doomed from the beginning I’m afraid. Given how small the savings were for authorities such as Cardiff and Newport it wasn’t surprising that they decided not to take part. Even the savings that were expected would not come on stream until at least year 7 of the project. Given the initial capital outlay required it just wasn’t worth the effort. Collaboration and smarter procurement are great in speeches but time is rapidly running out for local government in Wales as they face a pretty grim future. The Local government structure devised by the Tories aided and abetted by Labour MPs more worried about the reaction of GMC members than good governance was never fit for purpose. It survived because of the generous amounts of money given by the Uk government to the Assembly which has provided reasonable local government settlements in the past few years. All of this is now coming to an end whoever wins in May. If as PWC believe the Treasury’s assumptions for economic growth are too optimistic it could even be worse than the scenario outlined before Christmas in the pre budget report. Facing increasing demands on their services, very few reserves and council tax capped the 22 local authorities face some really tough decisions over the next 5 years. All the rhetoric regarding collaboration, smart procurement and public sector summits will not change the economic climate. As one of my good friends in local government would put it ‘It’s time for some people to get real’. If the politicians don’t set out their priorities soon then the inevitable cuts will be made by the officers leaving councillors to face the music I’m afraid.